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January 18th, 2008: God's (aka Mother Nature's) Role

Well, the worst day for any political manager is election day. There is nothing more you can do. No more ads in the state, no more trips, nothing. Nothing Chip Saltsman or Ed Rollins do tomorrow afternoon can really change for Mike Huckabee tomorrow. It now rest on the voters.

 

Still, the voters are influenced by Mother Nature. It what appears to be neck and neck, there it can all come down to if snow falls in mid- South Carolina. There is a winter weather advisory upstate and midstate in South Carolina. The bad thing for Mike Huckabee is that his supports are upstate. Huckabee is leading in the polls upstate, tied midstate and losing to McCain downstate. It appears there will be no snow downstate.

 

Still, some argue that Huckabee has the advantage with bad weather. Well, McCain's voters are old. If just people over 50 voted, it would be McCain by a landslide. Bummer for McCain is that these are the people affected by adverse weather. It is not the 30 year old evangelical couple that is most likely voting Huckabee. McCain does not have the money to run a turnout operation like Romney could in bad weather.

 

So, after all of this debating on the confederate flag, POWs, gays and the fairtax, it looks like it may come down to if South Carolina gets some odd snow on a Saturday in January.

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